The Fourth of July holiday is Monday, and if the long holiday weekend is anything like previous years, it could be one of the most violent of the summer. In 2014 and 2015, the long weekends that included the Fourth of July were those with the most shooting victims.
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Shootings spike in summer months …
The total number of Chicago shooting victims rises significantly during the summer months – June, July and August. Those three months have the most shooting victims per month of the year from 2012 to 2015 combined, the years the Tribune has tracked the data. June, the lowest of the summer months, has a total of 1,137 shooting victims from 2012 to 2015, which is nearly 150 more than the nearest month, May. That’s 15 percent more.
SHOOTING VICTIMS BY MONTH, 2012-2015 COMBINED
June
July
August
1,137
1,173
1,194
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
… and the long July 4th weekend is often
the most violent of the summer
To compare similar timespans the Tribune tallied shooting victims during summer months from Friday to Monday. For the last two years, 2015 and 2014 the Fourth of July weekend was the most violent of the summer months. It was third in 2013, and in 2012 the holiday fell on a Wednesday, but the following day, July 5 saw a spike of 28 victims, the highest single-day tally of the summer.
SHOOTING VICTIMS BY DAY, BETWEEN MAY 1 AND AUG. 31
July 4
Long weekend that includes or is closest to the 4th
2015
Friday, July 3 to Monday, July 6:
70
victims
Saturday, July 4:
12 victims
Most violent long weekend of summer
JUNE
JULY
AUGUST
Friday, July 4 to Monday, July 7:
2014
85
victims
Friday, July 4:
19 victims
Most violent long weekend of summer
JUNE
JULY
AUGUST
2013
Friday, July 5 to Monday, July 8:
51
victims
Thursday, July 4:
18 victims
Third most-violent long weekend of summer
JUNE
JULY
AUGUST
Thursday, July 5:
28 victims
Friday, June 29 to July 2:
2012
44
Wednesday, July 4:
13 victims
victims
Tenth most-violent long weekend of summer
JUNE
JULY
AUGUST
Note: In 2012 July 4 fell on a Wednesday, and is equidistant to two weekends.
The other weekend nearest the July 4, was July 6-9 with a total of 35 victims.
The July 4th long weekend is
regularly more violent than other
summer weekends
Another way to compare the total victims over a long holiday weekend is to look at the tally versus the median total for all long weekends in June and July. For each of the last four years, the Fourth of July holiday weekend surpassed the median amount.
MEDIAN FOR JUNE AND JULY LONG WEEKENDS: 42 SHOOTINGS
June 29 to July 2,
2012
July 5 to 8,
2013
July 4 to 7,
2014
July 3 to 6,
2015
44
51
victims
victims
70
victims
85
victims
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Shootings spike in summer months …
The total number of Chicago shooting victims rises significantly during the summer months – June, July and August. Those three months have the most shooting victims per month of the year from 2012 to 2015 combined, the years the Tribune has tracked the data. June, the lowest of the summer months, has a total of 1,137 shooting victims from 2012 to 2015, which is nearly 150 more than the nearest month, May. That’s 15 percent more.
SHOOTING VICTIMS BY MONTH,
2012-2015 COMBINED
June
1,137
July
1,173
August
1,194
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
… and the long July 4th weekend is often the most violent of the summer
To compare similar timespans the Tribune tallied shooting victims during summer months from Friday to Monday. For the last two years, 2015 and 2014 the Fourth of July weekend was the most violent of the summer months. It was third in 2013, and in 2012 the holiday fell on a Wednesday, but the following day, July 5 saw a spike of 28 victims, the highest single-day tally of the summer.
SHOOTING VICTIMS BY DAY,
BETWEEN MAY 1 AND AUG. 31
Long weekend that includes
or is closest to the 4th
July 4
2015
Friday, July 3 to Monday, July 6:
70 victims
Most violent long weekend of summer
Saturday,
July 4: 12
JUNE
JULY
AUGUST
2014
Friday, July 4 to Monday, July 7:
85 victims
Most violent long weekend of summer
Friday,
July 4: 19
JUNE
JULY
AUGUST
2013
Friday, July 5 to Monday, July 8:
51 victims
Third most-violent long weekend of summer
Thursday,
July 4: 18
JUNE
JULY
AUGUST
2012
Friday, June 29 to July 2:
44 victims
Tenth most-violent long weekend of summer
Wednesday,
July 4: 13
JUNE
JULY
AUGUST
Note: In 2012 July 4 fell on a Wednesday, and is equidistant to two weekends. The other weekend nearest the July 4, was July 6-9 with a total of 35 shootings.
The July 4th long weekend is
regularly more violent than other
summer weekends
Another way to compare the total victims over a long holiday weekend is to look at the tally versus the median total for all long weekends in June and July. For each of the last four years, the Fourth of July holiday weekend surpassed the median amount.
MEDIAN FOR JUNE AND JULY
LONG WEEKENDS: 42 SHOOTINGS
June 29, to July 2,
2012
July 5 to 8,
2013
44
51
victims
victims
July 4 to 7 ,
2014
July 3 to 6,
2015
70
victims
85
victims
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